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El Niño / La Niña — ENSO
NOAA CPC — Oceanic Niño Index · liveEl Niño is developing
The central Pacific Ocean is strong warmer than normal. That extra ocean heat moves where storms form and where rain falls — right across the planet.
What this usually means: Typically this brings drought and fire risk to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa and the Amazon; heavier rain to the southern US, the Horn of Africa and parts of South America; and a quieter Atlantic hurricane season.
📍 Where you are — United States: Wetter, stormier southern tier (Gulf Coast, California, Southeast); milder, drier north. Suppressed Atlantic hurricanes.
▸ The science behind it (live data)
El Niño and La Niña are the two opposite moods of the Pacific Ocean. They tilt rainfall, droughts, floods and storms all over the world — the single biggest driver of year-to-year weather swings. This is where we are right now.
ONI warming over ~6 months (DJF 2026: -0.39°C → JJA 2026: +1.80°C). Currently 1.30°C above the El Niño threshold.
This week — Pacific sea-surface temperature vs normal
Niño 1+2
+4.6°
Off Peru & Ecuador
Niño 3
+3.8°
Eastern Pacific
Niño 3.4
+3.0°
ENSO index region
Niño 4
+1.0°
Central Pacific
Official forecast · IRI / NOAA CPC · as published May 2026
⚠ This is the May 2026 forecast snapshot — a newer official forecast has likely been issued. Confirm the current outlook at the source below.
📍 Near you — Columbus
closest: 246 km away- Flood Warning — Barbour, WV246 km away◐ Unconfirmed · single source1h ago
- Flood Warning — Buchanan, VA292 km away◐ Unconfirmed · single source29m ago
- Flash Flood Warning — Buchanan, VA303 km away◐ Unconfirmed · single source3h ago
- Flash Flood Warning — Wise, VA338 km away◐ Unconfirmed · single source2h ago
7-day forecast — Columbus
Open-MeteoSettled week ahead — highs near 23°, little rain (3mm total). No weather precautions needed.
- ⚠ River flood high: discharge +439% vs normal (peak Tue)
Tue
Drizzle
16° / 14°
💧 4% · 1mm
🌬 14 km/h
Wed
Drizzle
17° / 13°
💧 54% · 2mm
🌬 21 km/h
Thu
Drizzle
21° / 13°
💧 11% · 0mm
🌬 16 km/h
Fri
Cloudy
21° / 10°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 12 km/h
Sat
Cloudy
22° / 10°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 8 km/h
Sun
Cloudy
23° / 11°
💧 1% · 0mm
🌬 6 km/h
Mon
Cloudy
23° / 14°
💧 2% · 0mm
🌬 6 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Columbus
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
- Well-observed region with dense weather networks.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Emergency resources
Columbus · call now or find nearby
Check any country
El Niño / La Niña impact, live alerts and emergency resources — anywhere in the world.
IAMUVIN MASTER BRAIN
AI analysisupdated 72d ago
Dangerous Heat Dome Gripping Middle East & Central Asia — July 2026
A powerful, El Niño-amplified heat dome is driving life-threatening temperatures across six cities over the next six days, with Kuwait City approaching 50 °C in 72 hours — the most urgent single threat in this cycle. All other observed seismic events are routine and unrelated to the heat signal.
Key concerns
- Kuwait City: 49.7 °C [49.3–50.2] forecast 2026-07-15 — near-record, life-safety threshold breached in 3 days (confidence 85%)
- Doha: 46.8 °C [46.5–47.1] forecast 2026-07-13 — extreme heat in ~19 hours, outdoor exposure dangerous (confidence 85%)
- Djibouti: 45.7 °C [44.9–46.5] forecast 2026-07-16 — widest uncertainty interval; confidence 77% (below 85% gate), treat as watch not warning
- Riyadh: 45.5 °C [45.3–45.8] forecast 2026-07-16 — tight interval, high confidence, Hajj-season overlap risk (confidence 85%)
- Dushanbe & Tehran: 42.8 °C and 40.0 °C forecast 2026-07-18 — 6-day lead, confidence 85%; infrastructure and vulnerable-population strain expected
⚠ Live source data currently shows a higher threat level (CRITICAL) than this summary. Trust the official source warnings and the event list below over this narrative.
AI-generated analysis from the IAMUVIN MASTER BRAIN — it explains the live data, it is not an official government statement. Always follow your local authorities.
Worldwide — live event map
…299 active now · 8 forecast · full list & filters →
Live wind & weather
Full wind map →Animated global wind, pressure and storms. Switch overlays inside the map, or open the full map with our disaster events overlaid.
Global Climate State
The big ocean & atmosphere patterns that tilt the odds of drought, flood, heat and storms worldwide. Each is a background dial, not a forecast — here is where each one sits now.
MJO
1.33 8
A pulse of tropical storminess circling the globe every 30–60 days, nudging where heavy rain falls.
as of Sep 2026
ENSO
1.80 Strong El Niño
The Pacific warm/cool cycle — the single biggest driver of global weather swings.
as of Sep 2026
PDO
-1.84 negative
A slow, decades-long Pacific temperature pattern that tilts the odds of drought vs rain.
as of Aug 2026
NAO
-1.92 negative
Steers storms and cold across Europe and eastern North America.
as of Aug 2026
AO
-0.06 neutral
How tightly polar cold is bottled up — negative lets cold air spill further south.
as of Aug 2026
Each index updates on its own cycle (weekly to monthly). A dated reading marked ⚠ is awaiting a fresh observation from its source — treat it as background, not current.
Highest-severity events now
What the labels mean
✓ Confirmed = corroborated by 2+ independent sources, or reported by a top-tier official source (e.g. USGS, NHC) · ◐ Unconfirmed = a single non-primary source so far · Forecast = a model prediction for the days ahead, not something happening now.
- River flood forecast: Ganges (Patna) — ~1-in-20-yr discharge (Thu)WARNINGForecastfloodin 9d
📍 Ganges (Patna), India
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: GLOFAS · updated just now↗ - Extreme heat forecast: 35°C — Brazzaville (Wed)WARNINGForecastextreme heatin 17h
📍 Brazzaville, Congo (Brazzaville)
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: OPENMETEO · updated just now↗ - HU PoloCRITICALcyclone47m ago
📍 near Mexico
✓ ConfirmedSource: NHC · updated 47m ago - Extreme heat forecast: 33°C — Praia (Tue)WARNINGForecastextreme heatnow
📍 Praia, Cape Verde
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: OPENMETEO · updated 6h ago↗ - Heavy-rain flood forecast: 157mm — Freetown (Sun)WATCHForecastfloodin 5d
📍 Freetown, Sierra Leone
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: OPENMETEO · updated just now↗ - Extreme heat forecast: 34°C — Dakar (Wed)WATCHForecastextreme heatin 17h
📍 Dakar, Senegal
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: OPENMETEO · updated just now↗
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