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United Arab Emirates

Weak signal during El Niño

Middle East · 24.45, 54.38

El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging

El Niño · active now

No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.

La Niña

No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.

ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.

Global ENSO tracker ↗

7-day forecast — United Arab Emirates

Open-Meteo

Dangerous heat — up to 46° Sun. Stay indoors midday, hydrate, check on the vulnerable.

Sat

Cloudy

46° / 35°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 17 km/h

extreme heat

Sun

Cloudy

46° / 36°

💧 4% · 0mm

🌬 16 km/h

extreme heat

Mon

Cloudy

44° / 36°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 18 km/h

extreme heat

Tue

Clear

44° / 34°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 14 km/h

extreme heat

Wed

Clear

41° / 32°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 16 km/h

high heat

Thu

Clear

45° / 32°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 19 km/h

extreme heat

Fri

Clear

40° / 32°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 17 km/h

high heat

🌡️

7-day temperature outlook

AI weather ensemble · United Arab Emirates

ECMWF · 50 members
High confidence· why?
  • Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.

Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.

80% range (P10–P90) across all members — how sure, not a single guess.
Sat
46° (4546°)
Sun
45° (4446°)
Mon
44° (4345°)
Tue
44° (4344°)
Wed
42° (4142°)
Thu
44° (4146°)
Fri
41° (4042°)
40°│ marks the most-likely temperature46°

Model comparison — United Arab Emirates

4 models · daily max °C
ModelSatSunMonTueWed
ECMWF4645444442
GFS4343434141
ICON4646
GEM4039393939
Spread±6±7±5±5±3

Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.

Emergency resources

United Arab Emirates · call now or find nearby

ACTIVE EVENTS — United Arab Emirates (2)

How to prepare

Full guide ↗

Limited ENSO signal here

This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.

Before

  • Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.

During

  • Follow local authorities for any weather warning.

After

  • Restock and review.