El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
Hotter, drier east and north; heightened bushfire and drought risk.
La Niña
Wetter east and north; major flooding risk (e.g. 2010–11, 2022).
7-day forecast — Australia
Open-MeteoSettled week ahead — highs near 25°, little rain (2mm total). No weather precautions needed.
- ⚠ River flood high: discharge +417% vs normal (peak Fri)
Tue
Drizzle
13° / 7°
💧 71% · 1mm
🌬 13 km/h
Wed
Drizzle
18° / 9°
💧 27% · 0mm
🌬 14 km/h
Thu
Cloudy
22° / 9°
💧 4% · 0mm
🌬 12 km/h
Fri
Cloudy
24° / 11°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 14 km/h
Sat
Cloudy
25° / 11°
💧 14% · 0mm
🌬 16 km/h
Sun
Drizzle
15° / 11°
💧 23% · 0mm
🌬 13 km/h
Mon
Drizzle
22° / 11°
💧 27% · 1mm
🌬 10 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Australia
Moderate confidence· why?
- Some divergence between members — treat the range, not the midpoint, as the forecast.
- Well-observed region with dense weather networks.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Australia
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 13 | 18 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| GFS | 14 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 27 |
| ICON | 14 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 27 |
| GEM | 15 | 19 | 23 | 25 | 25 |
| Spread | ±2 | ±3 | ±2 | ±1 | ±1 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Australia · call now or find nearby
ACTIVE EVENTS — Australia (15)
- Active fire — 401 MWWATCHwildfire1h ago
📍 Kowanyama, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 215 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Mount Isa, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 209 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Broome, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 198 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 West Arnhem, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 168 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Mount Isa, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 156 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Burke, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 138 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Roper Gulf, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 134 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Barkly, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 155 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Roper Gulf, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 138 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Victoria Daly, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 291 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Goondiwindi, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 163 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Southern Downs, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 139 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Central Desert, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 217 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Roper Gulf, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗ - Active fire — 163 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Victoria Daly, Australia
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Drought & water scarcity
El Niño can bring prolonged dry spells, crop failure, water and energy stress, and wildfire conditions.
Before
- Store water and prioritise drinking/cooking use; fix leaks.
- Plant drought-tolerant crops; conserve soil moisture (mulching).
- Track official seasonal forecasts and water-restriction notices.
During
- Follow water-rationing rules; reuse greywater for plants where safe.
- Protect livestock with shade and water; reduce herd if advised.
- Watch for heat and wildfire risk that often accompany drought.
After
- Rebuild water stores before the next dry season.
- Assess soil and replant with resilient varieties.
Extreme heat
El Niño years frequently bring record heat, dangerous to health, agriculture and energy.
Before
- Identify cool places (air-conditioned buildings) you can reach.
- Check on elderly, infants, outdoor workers and people with chronic illness.
- Never leave children or pets in parked vehicles.
During
- Drink water regularly even before you feel thirsty; avoid alcohol and heavy meals.
- Stay indoors during peak heat; wear light, loose clothing; limit exertion.
- Know heat-stroke signs (confusion, hot/dry skin, fainting) — call emergency services and cool the person.
After
- Keep hydrating; watch vulnerable people for delayed heat illness.
Wildfire & smoke
Drought and heat raise wildfire risk; smoke (PM2.5) harms health far from the fire.
Before
- Create defensible space — clear dry vegetation around buildings.
- Prepare N95/FFP2 masks and a plan to seal indoor air; ready a go-bag.
- Sign up for local fire alerts and know multiple evacuation routes.
During
- Evacuate early when told — fire moves faster than you expect.
- If trapped by smoke, stay indoors, close windows, run air filtration; wear N95 outdoors.
- Check live air-quality (AQI) before any outdoor activity.
After
- Return only when cleared; watch for hotspots, ash and weakened trees.
- Keep masks on during clean-up; ash can be toxic.