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Australia

Drought-prone during El Niño

Oceania · -35.28, 149.13

El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging

El Niño · active now

Hotter, drier east and north; heightened bushfire and drought risk.

La Niña

Wetter east and north; major flooding risk (e.g. 2010–11, 2022).

Global ENSO tracker ↗

7-day forecast — Australia

Open-Meteo

Settled week ahead — highs near 25°, little rain (2mm total). No weather precautions needed.

Tue

Drizzle

13° / 7°

💧 71% · 1mm

🌬 13 km/h

Wed

Drizzle

18° / 9°

💧 27% · 0mm

🌬 14 km/h

Thu

Cloudy

22° / 9°

💧 4% · 0mm

🌬 12 km/h

Fri

Cloudy

24° / 11°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 14 km/h

Sat

Cloudy

25° / 11°

💧 14% · 0mm

🌬 16 km/h

Sun

Drizzle

15° / 11°

💧 23% · 0mm

🌬 13 km/h

Mon

Drizzle

22° / 11°

💧 27% · 1mm

🌬 10 km/h

🌡️

7-day temperature outlook

AI weather ensemble · Australia

ECMWF · 50 members
Moderate confidence· why?
  • Some divergence between members — treat the range, not the midpoint, as the forecast.
  • Well-observed region with dense weather networks.

Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.

80% range (P10–P90) across all members — how sure, not a single guess.
Tue
13° (1214°)
Wed
18° (1620°)
Thu
23° (2223°)
Fri
24° (2425°)
Sat
25° (2526°)
Sun
19° (1525°)
Mon
21° (1625°)
12°│ marks the most-likely temperature26°

Model comparison — Australia

4 models · daily max °C
ModelTueWedThuFriSat
ECMWF1318232425
GFS1421242527
ICON1421242527
GEM1519232525
Spread±2±3±2±1±1

Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.

Emergency resources

Australia · call now or find nearby

ACTIVE EVENTS — Australia (15)

  • WATCHwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 401 MW

    📍 Kowanyama, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 215 MW

    📍 Mount Isa, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 209 MW

    📍 Broome, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 198 MW

    📍 West Arnhem, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 168 MW

    📍 Mount Isa, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 156 MW

    📍 Burke, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 138 MW

    📍 Roper Gulf, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 134 MW

    📍 Barkly, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 155 MW

    📍 Roper Gulf, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 138 MW

    📍 Victoria Daly, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 291 MW

    📍 Goondiwindi, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 163 MW

    📍 Southern Downs, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 139 MW

    📍 Central Desert, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 217 MW

    📍 Roper Gulf, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 163 MW

    📍 Victoria Daly, Australia

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago

How to prepare

Full guide ↗

Drought & water scarcity

El Niño can bring prolonged dry spells, crop failure, water and energy stress, and wildfire conditions.

Before

  • Store water and prioritise drinking/cooking use; fix leaks.
  • Plant drought-tolerant crops; conserve soil moisture (mulching).
  • Track official seasonal forecasts and water-restriction notices.

During

  • Follow water-rationing rules; reuse greywater for plants where safe.
  • Protect livestock with shade and water; reduce herd if advised.
  • Watch for heat and wildfire risk that often accompany drought.

After

  • Rebuild water stores before the next dry season.
  • Assess soil and replant with resilient varieties.

Extreme heat

El Niño years frequently bring record heat, dangerous to health, agriculture and energy.

Before

  • Identify cool places (air-conditioned buildings) you can reach.
  • Check on elderly, infants, outdoor workers and people with chronic illness.
  • Never leave children or pets in parked vehicles.

During

  • Drink water regularly even before you feel thirsty; avoid alcohol and heavy meals.
  • Stay indoors during peak heat; wear light, loose clothing; limit exertion.
  • Know heat-stroke signs (confusion, hot/dry skin, fainting) — call emergency services and cool the person.

After

  • Keep hydrating; watch vulnerable people for delayed heat illness.

Wildfire & smoke

Drought and heat raise wildfire risk; smoke (PM2.5) harms health far from the fire.

Before

  • Create defensible space — clear dry vegetation around buildings.
  • Prepare N95/FFP2 masks and a plan to seal indoor air; ready a go-bag.
  • Sign up for local fire alerts and know multiple evacuation routes.

During

  • Evacuate early when told — fire moves faster than you expect.
  • If trapped by smoke, stay indoors, close windows, run air filtration; wear N95 outdoors.
  • Check live air-quality (AQI) before any outdoor activity.

After

  • Return only when cleared; watch for hotspots, ash and weakened trees.
  • Keep masks on during clean-up; ash can be toxic.