El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
Drought in the north/northeast and Amazon; heavy rain and flooding in the south.
La Niña
Wetter north/northeast; drier and drought-prone in the south.
7-day forecast — Brazil
Open-MeteoSettled week ahead — highs near 32°, little rain (0mm total). No weather precautions needed.
Thu
Cloudy
29° / 17°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 12 km/h
Fri
Cloudy
31° / 19°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 14 km/h
Sat
Clear
31° / 18°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 13 km/h
Sun
Clear
32° / 18°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 9 km/h
Mon
Clear
32° / 21°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 14 km/h
Tue
Mostly sunny
29° / 21°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 18 km/h
Wed
Mostly sunny
28° / 18°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 14 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Brazil
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Brazil
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 31 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 28 |
| GFS | 32 | 34 | 33 | 30 | 29 |
| ICON | 32 | 32 | 32 | 25 | — |
| GEM | 32 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 29 |
| Spread | ±1 | ±2 | ±1 | ±5 | ±0 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Brazil · call now or find nearby
ACTIVE EVENTS — Brazil (4)
- Active fire — 202 MWMINORwildfire43m ago
📍 Chapadao do Sul, Brazil
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 43m ago↗ - Active fire — 198 MWMINORwildfire43m ago
📍 Poxoreu, Brazil
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 43m ago↗ - Active fire — 395 MWWATCHwildfire4h ago
📍 Novo Sao Joaquim, Brazil
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 4h ago↗ - Active fire — 559 MWWATCHwildfire4h ago
📍 Parauna, Brazil
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 4h ago↗
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Mixed / variable hazards
This region can swing between flooding and drought depending on the phase and season.
Before
- Prepare for both wet and dry extremes; keep a general emergency kit ready.
- Follow your national meteorological agency for the current seasonal outlook.
During
- Act on the specific official warning issued for your area.
After
- Restock supplies and review your plan after each event.
Flooding
El Niño / La Niña can drive heavy rainfall, river and flash flooding, and landslides.
Before
- Know if you are in a flood-prone or low-lying area; plan a route to higher ground.
- Move valuables and electrics above expected flood level; prepare sandbags if available.
- Charge phones and keep your go-bag ready when heavy rain is forecast.
During
- Turn Around, Don’t Drown — never walk, swim or drive through flood water (15 cm can knock you down, 60 cm floats a car).
- Move to higher ground immediately if told to evacuate; avoid bridges over fast water.
- Stay away from downed power lines; assume water is contaminated.
After
- Return only when authorities say it is safe; watch for weakened structures.
- Do not use wet electrical devices; boil/treat water until declared safe.
- Document damage with photos for aid/insurance.
Drought & water scarcity
El Niño can bring prolonged dry spells, crop failure, water and energy stress, and wildfire conditions.
Before
- Store water and prioritise drinking/cooking use; fix leaks.
- Plant drought-tolerant crops; conserve soil moisture (mulching).
- Track official seasonal forecasts and water-restriction notices.
During
- Follow water-rationing rules; reuse greywater for plants where safe.
- Protect livestock with shade and water; reduce herd if advised.
- Watch for heat and wildfire risk that often accompany drought.
After
- Rebuild water stores before the next dry season.
- Assess soil and replant with resilient varieties.