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Brazil

Mixed impacts during El Niño

South America · -15.79, -47.88

El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging

El Niño · active now

Drought in the north/northeast and Amazon; heavy rain and flooding in the south.

La Niña

Wetter north/northeast; drier and drought-prone in the south.

Global ENSO tracker ↗

7-day forecast — Brazil

Open-Meteo

Settled week ahead — highs near 34°, little rain (13mm total). No weather precautions needed.

Mon

Cloudy

32° / 22°

💧 2% · 0mm

🌬 14 km/h

Tue

Cloudy

34° / 21°

💧 4% · 0mm

🌬 16 km/h

Wed

Showers

33° / 22°

💧 78% · 4mm

🌬 11 km/h

Thu

Thunderstorm

29° / 20°

💧 90% · 8mm

🌬 13 km/h

Fri

Drizzle

30° / 18°

💧 63% · 1mm

🌬 8 km/h

Sat

Mostly sunny

32° / 20°

💧 34% · 0mm

🌬 12 km/h

Sun

Clear

31° / 20°

💧 4% · 0mm

🌬 12 km/h

🌡️

7-day temperature outlook

AI weather ensemble · Brazil

ECMWF · 50 members
High confidence· why?
  • Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.

Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.

80% range (P10–P90) across all members — how sure, not a single guess.
Mon
32° (3133°)
Tue
34° (3334°)
Wed
31° (2933°)
Thu
30° (2832°)
Fri
30° (2932°)
Sat
32° (3034°)
Sun
33° (3135°)
28°│ marks the most-likely temperature35°

Model comparison — Brazil

4 models · daily max °C
ModelMonTueWedThuFri
ECMWF3234313030
GFS3335353435
ICON3233313032
GEM33323130
Spread±1±2±4±4±5

Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.

Emergency resources

Brazil · call now or find nearby

ACTIVE EVENTS — Brazil (29)

  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 244 MW

    📍 Riachao das Neves, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 205 MW

    📍 Tocantinopolis, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 188 MW

    📍 Porto Velho, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 181 MW

    📍 Porto Velho, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 179 MW

    📍 Cocalinho, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 156 MW

    📍 Caxias, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 148 MW

    📍 Tasso Fragoso, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 148 MW

    📍 Altamira, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 135 MW

    📍 Rorainopolis, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 181 MW

    📍 Novo Aripuana, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 233 MW

    📍 Urucurituba, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 197 MW

    📍 Amajari, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 191 MW

    📍 Portel, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 171 MW

    📍 Pimenteiras, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 171 MW

    📍 Joao Pinheiro, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 144 MW

    📍 Palmeira do Piaui, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 139 MW

    📍 Jacareacanga, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 138 MW

    📍 Mirador, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 328 MW

    📍 Pocao de Pedras, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 296 MW

    📍 Alto Parnaiba, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 167 MW

    📍 Lagoa da Confusao, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 182 MW

    📍 Sao Goncalo do Gurgueia, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 351 MW

    📍 Riachao, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 202 MW

    📍 Feijo, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 233 MW

    📍 Novo Aripuana, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    1h ago
    Active fire — 218 MW

    📍 Sao Desiderio, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 1h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 128 MW

    📍 Buriti Bravo, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 126 MW

    📍 Santa Cruz do Piaui, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 125 MW

    📍 Gentio do Ouro, Brazil

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago

How to prepare

Full guide ↗

Mixed / variable hazards

This region can swing between flooding and drought depending on the phase and season.

Before

  • Prepare for both wet and dry extremes; keep a general emergency kit ready.
  • Follow your national meteorological agency for the current seasonal outlook.

During

  • Act on the specific official warning issued for your area.

After

  • Restock supplies and review your plan after each event.

Flooding

El Niño / La Niña can drive heavy rainfall, river and flash flooding, and landslides.

Before

  • Know if you are in a flood-prone or low-lying area; plan a route to higher ground.
  • Move valuables and electrics above expected flood level; prepare sandbags if available.
  • Charge phones and keep your go-bag ready when heavy rain is forecast.

During

  • Turn Around, Don’t Drown — never walk, swim or drive through flood water (15 cm can knock you down, 60 cm floats a car).
  • Move to higher ground immediately if told to evacuate; avoid bridges over fast water.
  • Stay away from downed power lines; assume water is contaminated.

After

  • Return only when authorities say it is safe; watch for weakened structures.
  • Do not use wet electrical devices; boil/treat water until declared safe.
  • Document damage with photos for aid/insurance.

Drought & water scarcity

El Niño can bring prolonged dry spells, crop failure, water and energy stress, and wildfire conditions.

Before

  • Store water and prioritise drinking/cooking use; fix leaks.
  • Plant drought-tolerant crops; conserve soil moisture (mulching).
  • Track official seasonal forecasts and water-restriction notices.

During

  • Follow water-rationing rules; reuse greywater for plants where safe.
  • Protect livestock with shade and water; reduce herd if advised.
  • Watch for heat and wildfire risk that often accompany drought.

After

  • Rebuild water stores before the next dry season.
  • Assess soil and replant with resilient varieties.