El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.
La Niña
No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.
ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.
Global ENSO tracker ↗7-day forecast — Bahamas
Open-MeteoMostly dry with rain Sun (10mm). Carry rain gear that day.
- ⚠ River flood high: discharge +282% vs normal (peak Sat)
Fri
Cloudy
33° / 27°
💧 29% · 0mm
🌬 25 km/h
Sat
Cloudy
33° / 26°
💧 13% · 0mm
🌬 19 km/h
Sun
Showers
32° / 25°
💧 12% · 10mm
🌬 26 km/h
Mon
Drizzle
30° / 29°
💧 12% · 1mm
🌬 29 km/h
Tue
Thunderstorm
30° / 29°
💧 6% · 1mm
🌬 25 km/h
Wed
Drizzle
29° / 29°
💧 3% · 2mm
🌬 22 km/h
Thu
Drizzle
29° / 29°
💧 17% · 1mm
🌬 26 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Bahamas
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
- Well-observed region with dense weather networks.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Bahamas
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 |
| GFS | — | — | — | — | — |
| ICON | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| GEM | — | — | — | — | — |
| Spread | ±0 | ±1 | ±1 | ±0 | ±0 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Bahamas · call now or find nearby
112 is the universal mobile-network emergency number and routes to local services in most countries — but confirm your own local number now, before you need it.
ACTIVE EVENTS — Bahamas (2)
- Extreme heat forecast: 33°C — Nassau (Sat)WARNINGForecastextreme heatnow
📍 Nassau, Bahamas
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: OPENMETEO · updated 3h ago↗ - Extreme heat forecast: 33°C — Nassau (Fri)WARNINGForecastextreme heatnow
📍 Nassau, Bahamas
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: OPENMETEO · updated 1d ago↗
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Limited ENSO signal here
This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.
Before
- Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.
During
- Follow local authorities for any weather warning.
After
- Restock and review.