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Canada

Weak signal during El Niño

North America · 45.42, -75.70

El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging

El Niño · active now

Milder, drier winters across much of the country.

La Niña

Colder, snowier winters, especially in the west.

Global ENSO tracker ↗

7-day forecast — Canada

Open-Meteo

Settled week ahead — highs near 29°, little rain (7mm total). No weather precautions needed.

Fri

Cloudy

29° / 20°

💧 4% · 0mm

🌬 10 km/h

Sat

Fog

28° / 21°

💧 21% · 0mm

🌬 15 km/h

Sun

Cloudy

26° / 19°

💧 11% · 0mm

🌬 15 km/h

Mon

Thunderstorm

25° / 20°

💧 70% · 6mm

🌬 18 km/h

Tue

Cloudy

26° / 16°

💧 29% · 0mm

🌬 13 km/h

Wed

Cloudy

24° / 15°

💧 33% · 0mm

🌬 18 km/h

Thu

Drizzle

22° / 13°

💧 36% · 1mm

🌬 14 km/h

🌡️

7-day temperature outlook

AI weather ensemble · Canada

ECMWF · 50 members
High confidence· why?
  • Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
  • Well-observed region with dense weather networks.

Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.

80% range (P10–P90) across all members — how sure, not a single guess.
Wed
28° (2828°)
Thu
28° (2729°)
Fri
27° (2728°)
Sat
28° (2629°)
Sun
25° (2526°)
Mon
25° (2427°)
Tue
24° (2325°)
23°│ marks the most-likely temperature29°

Model comparison — Canada

4 models · daily max °C
ModelSatSunMonTueWed
ECMWF2626252525
GFS2826242524
ICON3029282724
GEM2826252625
Spread±3±3±4±2±1

Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.

Emergency resources

Canada · call now or find nearby

ACTIVE EVENTS — Canada (10)

  • MINORwildfire
    42m ago
    Active fire — 248 MW

    📍 Area E (Bonaparte Plateau), Canada

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 42m ago
  • MINORwildfire
    42m ago
    Active fire — 241 MW

    📍 Area E (Bonaparte Plateau), Canada

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 42m ago
  • MINORwildfire
    42m ago
    Active fire — 232 MW

    📍 Area E (Bonaparte Plateau), Canada

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 42m ago
  • MINORwildfire
    42m ago
    Active fire — 227 MW

    📍 Area E (Bonaparte Plateau), Canada

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 42m ago
  • MINORwildfire
    42m ago
    Active fire — 200 MW

    📍 Baie-James, Canada

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 42m ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    42m ago
    Active fire — 471 MW

    📍 Baie-James, Canada

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 42m ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    42m ago
    Active fire — 347 MW

    📍 Area B (Cayoosh/Pavilion), Canada

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 42m ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 463 MW

    📍 Area E (Bonaparte Plateau), Canada

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 440 MW

    📍 Area A (Boston Bar/North Bend/Canyon Alpine, Canada

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    22d ago
    Wildfire Border 2, Whatcom, Washington

    📍 Area B (South Fraser Canyon/Sunshine Valley), Canada

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 22d ago

How to prepare

Full guide ↗

Limited ENSO signal here

This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.

Before

  • Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.

During

  • Follow local authorities for any weather warning.

After

  • Restock and review.