El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
Flooding risk along the Yangtze; milder northern winters.
La Niña
Colder winters; drought tendency in parts of the north.
7-day forecast — China
Open-MeteoHeavy rain Wed (59mm) — flooding likely in low-lying areas; avoid flooded roads.
- ⚠ River flood high: discharge +227% vs normal (peak Sun)
- ⚠ Heavy rain Wed (59mm)
Sat
Cloudy
31° / 26°
💧 27% · 0mm
🌬 8 km/h
Sun
Clear
32° / 22°
💧 2% · 0mm
🌬 10 km/h
Mon
Mostly sunny
34° / 23°
💧 12% · 0mm
🌬 11 km/h
Tue
Thunderstorm
33° / 25°
💧 80% · 13mm
🌬 13 km/h
Wed
Thunderstorm
25° / 23°
💧 84% · 59mm
🌬 9 km/h
⚠ heavy rain
Thu
Cloudy
26° / 24°
💧 76% · 0mm
🌬 11 km/h
Fri
Cloudy
28° / 23°
💧 58% · 0mm
🌬 8 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · China
Lower confidence· why?
- Some divergence between members — treat the range, not the midpoint, as the forecast.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — China
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 31 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 26 |
| GFS | — | — | — | — | — |
| ICON | 30 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 25 |
| GEM | — | — | — | — | — |
| Spread | ±0 | ±0 | ±1 | ±3 | ±0 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
China · call now or find nearby
ACTIVE EVENTS — China (2)
- M 5.1 - 6 km NNE of Xunchang, ChinaMINORearthquake22h ago
📍 6 km NNE of Xunchang, China
✓ Confirmed · 2 sourcesSource: USGS · updated 22h ago↗ - Extreme heat forecast: 37°C — Beijing (Fri)WATCHForecastextreme heatnow
📍 Beijing, China
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: OPENMETEO · updated 1d ago↗
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Flooding
El Niño / La Niña can drive heavy rainfall, river and flash flooding, and landslides.
Before
- Know if you are in a flood-prone or low-lying area; plan a route to higher ground.
- Move valuables and electrics above expected flood level; prepare sandbags if available.
- Charge phones and keep your go-bag ready when heavy rain is forecast.
During
- Turn Around, Don’t Drown — never walk, swim or drive through flood water (15 cm can knock you down, 60 cm floats a car).
- Move to higher ground immediately if told to evacuate; avoid bridges over fast water.
- Stay away from downed power lines; assume water is contaminated.
After
- Return only when authorities say it is safe; watch for weakened structures.
- Do not use wet electrical devices; boil/treat water until declared safe.
- Document damage with photos for aid/insurance.
Tropical cyclone / storm surge
ENSO shifts where cyclones form and track; some regions see more intense storms and surge.
Before
- Know your evacuation zone and route; reinforce/secure roof, windows and loose objects.
- Prepare your kit, fuel and cash before the storm; agree when you will leave.
- Follow the official storm category and warnings — do not wait for the eye to pass.
During
- Shelter in a small, windowless interior room on the lowest safe floor.
- Stay indoors during the calm "eye" — winds return suddenly from the opposite direction.
- Evacuate early if in a surge zone; surge, not wind, causes most deaths.
After
- Beware downed lines, gas leaks, and flood water; do not sightsee.
- Use generators outdoors only — carbon-monoxide kills.