El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
Wetter winters; fewer Atlantic hurricanes due to stronger wind shear.
La Niña
Drier winters; more active hurricane season.
7-day forecast — Cuba
Open-MeteoShowery week — rain on 6 days, heaviest Sun (18mm). Keep an umbrella handy; brief downpours can flood streets.
- ⚠ River flood elevated: discharge +194% vs normal (peak Fri)
Mon
Thunderstorm
30° / 23°
💧 100% · 8mm
🌬 17 km/h
Tue
Thunderstorm
29° / 24°
💧 98% · 7mm
🌬 16 km/h
Wed
Thunderstorm
28° / 24°
💧 98% · 6mm
🌬 14 km/h
Thu
Thunderstorm
30° / 24°
💧 88% · 7mm
🌬 9 km/h
Fri
Drizzle
30° / 24°
💧 94% · 1mm
🌬 9 km/h
Sat
Thunderstorm
30° / 24°
💧 96% · 7mm
🌬 9 km/h
Sun
Thunderstorm
28° / 23°
💧 96% · 18mm
🌬 8 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Cuba
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Cuba
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| GFS | 30 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 |
| ICON | 29 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 |
| GEM | 29 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 |
| Spread | ±1 | ±2 | ±2 | ±1 | ±1 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Cuba · call now or find nearby
ACTIVE EVENTS — Cuba (0)
No active events recorded in Cuba right now.
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Tropical cyclone / storm surge
ENSO shifts where cyclones form and track; some regions see more intense storms and surge.
Before
- Know your evacuation zone and route; reinforce/secure roof, windows and loose objects.
- Prepare your kit, fuel and cash before the storm; agree when you will leave.
- Follow the official storm category and warnings — do not wait for the eye to pass.
During
- Shelter in a small, windowless interior room on the lowest safe floor.
- Stay indoors during the calm "eye" — winds return suddenly from the opposite direction.
- Evacuate early if in a surge zone; surge, not wind, causes most deaths.
After
- Beware downed lines, gas leaks, and flood water; do not sightsee.
- Use generators outdoors only — carbon-monoxide kills.
Flooding
El Niño / La Niña can drive heavy rainfall, river and flash flooding, and landslides.
Before
- Know if you are in a flood-prone or low-lying area; plan a route to higher ground.
- Move valuables and electrics above expected flood level; prepare sandbags if available.
- Charge phones and keep your go-bag ready when heavy rain is forecast.
During
- Turn Around, Don’t Drown — never walk, swim or drive through flood water (15 cm can knock you down, 60 cm floats a car).
- Move to higher ground immediately if told to evacuate; avoid bridges over fast water.
- Stay away from downed power lines; assume water is contaminated.
After
- Return only when authorities say it is safe; watch for weakened structures.
- Do not use wet electrical devices; boil/treat water until declared safe.
- Document damage with photos for aid/insurance.