El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
Wetter winters; fewer Atlantic hurricanes due to stronger wind shear.
La Niña
Drier winters; more active hurricane season.
7-day forecast — Cuba
Open-MeteoHot — peaks 36° Thu. Drink water, limit midday sun.
- ⚠ River flood watch: discharge +99% vs normal (peak Sat)
Fri
Thunderstorm
34° / 25°
💧 88% · 3mm
🌬 15 km/h
Sat
Thunderstorm
33° / 26°
💧 93% · 2mm
🌬 15 km/h
Sun
Thunderstorm
33° / 25°
💧 90% · 3mm
🌬 16 km/h
Mon
Thunderstorm
34° / 26°
💧 41% · 3mm
🌬 19 km/h
Tue
Thunderstorm
35° / 26°
💧 92% · 3mm
🌬 16 km/h
Wed
Drizzle
35° / 26°
💧 57% · 0mm
🌬 18 km/h
Thu
Cloudy
36° / 25°
💧 24% · 0mm
🌬 19 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Cuba
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Cuba
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 33 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 34 |
| GFS | 34 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 35 |
| ICON | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 30 |
| GEM | 33 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 |
| Spread | ±1 | ±2 | ±1 | ±1 | ±5 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Cuba · call now or find nearby
ACTIVE EVENTS — Cuba (1)
- Extreme heat forecast: 36°C — Havana (Thu)WARNINGForecastextreme heatin 5d
📍 Havana, Cuba
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: OPENMETEO · updated just now↗
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Tropical cyclone / storm surge
ENSO shifts where cyclones form and track; some regions see more intense storms and surge.
Before
- Know your evacuation zone and route; reinforce/secure roof, windows and loose objects.
- Prepare your kit, fuel and cash before the storm; agree when you will leave.
- Follow the official storm category and warnings — do not wait for the eye to pass.
During
- Shelter in a small, windowless interior room on the lowest safe floor.
- Stay indoors during the calm "eye" — winds return suddenly from the opposite direction.
- Evacuate early if in a surge zone; surge, not wind, causes most deaths.
After
- Beware downed lines, gas leaks, and flood water; do not sightsee.
- Use generators outdoors only — carbon-monoxide kills.
Flooding
El Niño / La Niña can drive heavy rainfall, river and flash flooding, and landslides.
Before
- Know if you are in a flood-prone or low-lying area; plan a route to higher ground.
- Move valuables and electrics above expected flood level; prepare sandbags if available.
- Charge phones and keep your go-bag ready when heavy rain is forecast.
During
- Turn Around, Don’t Drown — never walk, swim or drive through flood water (15 cm can knock you down, 60 cm floats a car).
- Move to higher ground immediately if told to evacuate; avoid bridges over fast water.
- Stay away from downed power lines; assume water is contaminated.
After
- Return only when authorities say it is safe; watch for weakened structures.
- Do not use wet electrical devices; boil/treat water until declared safe.
- Document damage with photos for aid/insurance.