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Dominica

Weak signal during El Niño

Caribbean · 15.31, -61.39

El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging

El Niño · active now

No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.

La Niña

No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.

ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.

Global ENSO tracker ↗

7-day forecast — Dominica

Open-Meteo

Settled week ahead — highs near 31°, little rain (30mm total). No weather precautions needed.

Tue

Drizzle

31° / 26°

💧 20% · 2mm

🌬 19 km/h

Wed

Drizzle

31° / 24°

💧 32% · 4mm

🌬 17 km/h

Thu

Drizzle

31° / 26°

💧 20% · 2mm

🌬 19 km/h

Fri

Drizzle

31° / 26°

💧 10% · 4mm

🌬 20 km/h

Sat

Drizzle

29° / 26°

💧 14% · 7mm

🌬 17 km/h

Sun

Drizzle

30° / 26°

💧 18% · 2mm

🌬 18 km/h

Mon

Drizzle

31° / 25°

💧 29% · 10mm

🌬 15 km/h

🌡️

7-day temperature outlook

AI weather ensemble · Dominica

ECMWF · 50 members
High confidence· why?
  • Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.

Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.

80% range (P10–P90) across all members — how sure, not a single guess.
Wed
29° (2829°)
Thu
30° (2930°)
Fri
30° (2930°)
Sat
29° (2930°)
Sun
29° (2930°)
Mon
29° (2930°)
Tue
29° (2930°)
28°│ marks the most-likely temperature30°

Model comparison — Dominica

4 models · daily max °C
ModelTueWedThuFriSat
ECMWF3030303030
GFS2929292929
ICON3232323232
GEM3131313131
Spread±3±3±3±3±3

Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.

Emergency resources

Dominica · call now or find nearby

112 is the universal mobile-network emergency number and routes to local services in most countries — but confirm your own local number now, before you need it.

ACTIVE EVENTS — Dominica (0)

No active events recorded in Dominica right now.

How to prepare

Full guide ↗

Limited ENSO signal here

This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.

Before

  • Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.

During

  • Follow local authorities for any weather warning.

After

  • Restock and review.