El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.
La Niña
No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.
ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.
Global ENSO tracker ↗7-day forecast — Estonia
Open-MeteoMostly dry with rain Thu (22mm). Carry rain gear that day.
- ⚠ River flood elevated: discharge +119% vs normal (peak Fri)
Tue
Cloudy
15° / 11°
💧 12% · 0mm
🌬 23 km/h
Wed
Drizzle
14° / 12°
💧 85% · 1mm
🌬 29 km/h
Thu
Showers
14° / 10°
💧 73% · 22mm
🌬 41 km/h
Fri
Drizzle
14° / 12°
💧 35% · 1mm
🌬 25 km/h
Sat
Drizzle
14° / 12°
💧 43% · 1mm
🌬 22 km/h
Sun
Drizzle
15° / 11°
💧 24% · 1mm
🌬 19 km/h
Mon
Fog
17° / 9°
💧 6% · 0mm
🌬 9 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Estonia
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
- Well-observed region with dense weather networks.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Estonia
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| GFS | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
| ICON | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| GEM | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| Spread | ±1 | ±1 | ±2 | ±1 | ±1 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Estonia · call now or find nearby
112 is the universal mobile-network emergency number and routes to local services in most countries — but confirm your own local number now, before you need it.
ACTIVE EVENTS — Estonia (0)
No active events recorded in Estonia right now.
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Limited ENSO signal here
This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.
Before
- Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.
During
- Follow local authorities for any weather warning.
After
- Restock and review.