El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.
La Niña
No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.
ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.
Global ENSO tracker ↗7-day forecast — Estonia
Open-MeteoSettled week ahead — highs near 26°, little rain (11mm total). No weather precautions needed.
- ⚠ River flood elevated: discharge +100% vs normal (peak Wed)
Sat
Drizzle
22° / 15°
💧 77% · 0mm
🌬 20 km/h
Sun
Mostly sunny
24° / 16°
💧 4% · 0mm
🌬 21 km/h
Mon
Drizzle
26° / 16°
💧 88% · 5mm
🌬 28 km/h
Tue
Showers
18° / 14°
💧 89% · 5mm
🌬 24 km/h
Wed
Drizzle
18° / 13°
💧 49% · 0mm
🌬 21 km/h
Thu
Cloudy
19° / 13°
💧 4% · 0mm
🌬 14 km/h
Fri
Drizzle
21° / 13°
💧 14% · 1mm
🌬 21 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Estonia
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
- Well-observed region with dense weather networks.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Estonia
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 19 | 22 | 23 | 18 | 18 |
| GFS | 21 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 17 |
| ICON | 19 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 17 |
| GEM | 18 | 20 | 22 | 17 | 16 |
| Spread | ±2 | ±2 | ±1 | ±1 | ±1 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Estonia · call now or find nearby
112 is the universal mobile-network emergency number and routes to local services in most countries — but confirm your own local number now, before you need it.
ACTIVE EVENTS — Estonia (0)
No active events recorded in Estonia right now.
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Limited ENSO signal here
This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.
Before
- Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.
During
- Follow local authorities for any weather warning.
After
- Restock and review.