El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.
La Niña
No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.
ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.
Global ENSO tracker ↗7-day forecast — Iceland
Open-MeteoShowery week — rain on 3 days, heaviest Wed (28mm). Keep an umbrella handy; brief downpours can flood streets.
Sun
Rain
10° / 8°
💧 100% · 5mm
🌬 33 km/h
Mon
Cloudy
13° / 9°
💧 67% · 0mm
🌬 32 km/h
Tue
Cloudy
9° / 5°
💧 9% · 0mm
🌬 14 km/h
Wed
Rain
10° / 6°
💧 100% · 28mm
🌬 45 km/h
Thu
Drizzle
11° / 7°
💧 49% · 1mm
🌬 12 km/h
Fri
Drizzle
10° / 8°
💧 67% · 12mm
🌬 30 km/h
Sat
Drizzle
10° / 5°
💧 59% · 11mm
🌬 15 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Iceland
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Iceland
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| GFS | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
| ICON | 10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| GEM | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| Spread | ±1 | ±2 | ±2 | ±1 | ±1 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Iceland · call now or find nearby
112 is the universal mobile-network emergency number and routes to local services in most countries — but confirm your own local number now, before you need it.
ACTIVE EVENTS — Iceland (0)
No active events recorded in Iceland right now.
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Limited ENSO signal here
This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.
Before
- Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.
During
- Follow local authorities for any weather warning.
After
- Restock and review.