El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
Wetter winter in the north; drier summer in the south. Quieter Atlantic hurricane season.
La Niña
Drier north (drought); more active Atlantic hurricane season.
7-day forecast — Mexico
Open-MeteoMostly dry with rain Sun (17mm). Carry rain gear that day.
Mon
Drizzle
26° / 14°
💧 22% · 1mm
🌬 11 km/h
Tue
Drizzle
25° / 14°
💧 82% · 1mm
🌬 11 km/h
Wed
Showers
26° / 14°
💧 78% · 3mm
🌬 10 km/h
Thu
Drizzle
28° / 14°
💧 75% · 1mm
🌬 10 km/h
Fri
Showers
26° / 14°
💧 76% · 5mm
🌬 10 km/h
Sat
Showers
25° / 14°
💧 87% · 14mm
🌬 8 km/h
Sun
Thunderstorm
21° / 14°
💧 78% · 17mm
🌬 4 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Mexico
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Mexico
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 |
| GFS | — | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 |
| ICON | 24 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 22 |
| GEM | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 24 |
| Spread | ±2 | ±3 | ±3 | ±3 | ±2 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Mexico · call now or find nearby
ACTIVE EVENTS — Mexico (1)
- Active fire — 137 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Heroica Ciudad de Juchitan de Zaragoza, Mexico
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Mixed / variable hazards
This region can swing between flooding and drought depending on the phase and season.
Before
- Prepare for both wet and dry extremes; keep a general emergency kit ready.
- Follow your national meteorological agency for the current seasonal outlook.
During
- Act on the specific official warning issued for your area.
After
- Restock supplies and review your plan after each event.
Flooding
El Niño / La Niña can drive heavy rainfall, river and flash flooding, and landslides.
Before
- Know if you are in a flood-prone or low-lying area; plan a route to higher ground.
- Move valuables and electrics above expected flood level; prepare sandbags if available.
- Charge phones and keep your go-bag ready when heavy rain is forecast.
During
- Turn Around, Don’t Drown — never walk, swim or drive through flood water (15 cm can knock you down, 60 cm floats a car).
- Move to higher ground immediately if told to evacuate; avoid bridges over fast water.
- Stay away from downed power lines; assume water is contaminated.
After
- Return only when authorities say it is safe; watch for weakened structures.
- Do not use wet electrical devices; boil/treat water until declared safe.
- Document damage with photos for aid/insurance.
Drought & water scarcity
El Niño can bring prolonged dry spells, crop failure, water and energy stress, and wildfire conditions.
Before
- Store water and prioritise drinking/cooking use; fix leaks.
- Plant drought-tolerant crops; conserve soil moisture (mulching).
- Track official seasonal forecasts and water-restriction notices.
During
- Follow water-rationing rules; reuse greywater for plants where safe.
- Protect livestock with shade and water; reduce herd if advised.
- Watch for heat and wildfire risk that often accompany drought.
After
- Rebuild water stores before the next dry season.
- Assess soil and replant with resilient varieties.