El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
Drier; drought and water stress, but fewer landfalling typhoons.
La Niña
Wetter; more typhoons and flooding.
7-day forecast — Philippines
Open-MeteoMostly dry with rain Tue (16mm). Carry rain gear that day.
Tue
Thunderstorm
31° / 24°
💧 99% · 16mm
🌬 12 km/h
Wed
Drizzle
30° / 25°
💧 100% · 2mm
🌬 9 km/h
Thu
Showers
31° / 24°
💧 96% · 2mm
🌬 8 km/h
Fri
Showers
30° / 25°
💧 81% · 2mm
🌬 8 km/h
Sat
Drizzle
31° / 25°
💧 69% · 2mm
🌬 9 km/h
Sun
Drizzle
31° / 26°
💧 58% · 2mm
🌬 13 km/h
Mon
Drizzle
31° / 26°
💧 57% · 2mm
🌬 14 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Philippines
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Philippines
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| GFS | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| ICON | 30 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 31 |
| GEM | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 31 |
| Spread | ±1 | ±1 | ±2 | ±2 | ±1 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Philippines · call now or find nearby
ACTIVE EVENTS — Philippines (2)
- M 4.8 - 70 km N of Claveria, PhilippinesMINORearthquake8h ago
📍 70 km N of Claveria, Philippines
✓ Confirmed · 2 sourcesSource: USGS · updated 8h ago↗ - M 5.3 - 97 km S of Sarangani, PhilippinesMINORearthquake8h ago
📍 97 km S of Sarangani, Philippines
✓ Confirmed · 2 sourcesSource: USGS · updated 8h ago↗
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Drought & water scarcity
El Niño can bring prolonged dry spells, crop failure, water and energy stress, and wildfire conditions.
Before
- Store water and prioritise drinking/cooking use; fix leaks.
- Plant drought-tolerant crops; conserve soil moisture (mulching).
- Track official seasonal forecasts and water-restriction notices.
During
- Follow water-rationing rules; reuse greywater for plants where safe.
- Protect livestock with shade and water; reduce herd if advised.
- Watch for heat and wildfire risk that often accompany drought.
After
- Rebuild water stores before the next dry season.
- Assess soil and replant with resilient varieties.
Extreme heat
El Niño years frequently bring record heat, dangerous to health, agriculture and energy.
Before
- Identify cool places (air-conditioned buildings) you can reach.
- Check on elderly, infants, outdoor workers and people with chronic illness.
- Never leave children or pets in parked vehicles.
During
- Drink water regularly even before you feel thirsty; avoid alcohol and heavy meals.
- Stay indoors during peak heat; wear light, loose clothing; limit exertion.
- Know heat-stroke signs (confusion, hot/dry skin, fainting) — call emergency services and cool the person.
After
- Keep hydrating; watch vulnerable people for delayed heat illness.
Wildfire & smoke
Drought and heat raise wildfire risk; smoke (PM2.5) harms health far from the fire.
Before
- Create defensible space — clear dry vegetation around buildings.
- Prepare N95/FFP2 masks and a plan to seal indoor air; ready a go-bag.
- Sign up for local fire alerts and know multiple evacuation routes.
During
- Evacuate early when told — fire moves faster than you expect.
- If trapped by smoke, stay indoors, close windows, run air filtration; wear N95 outdoors.
- Check live air-quality (AQI) before any outdoor activity.
After
- Return only when cleared; watch for hotspots, ash and weakened trees.
- Keep masks on during clean-up; ash can be toxic.