El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
Drier; drought and water stress, but fewer landfalling typhoons.
La Niña
Wetter; more typhoons and flooding.
7-day forecast — Philippines
Open-MeteoShowery week — rain on 6 days, heaviest Sun (36mm). Keep an umbrella handy; brief downpours can flood streets.
- ⚠ River flood high: discharge +353% vs normal (peak Mon)
Sat
Thunderstorm
28° / 26°
💧 100% · 31mm
🌬 29 km/h
Sun
Thunderstorm
28° / 26°
💧 100% · 36mm
🌬 34 km/h
Mon
Thunderstorm
29° / 26°
💧 100% · 25mm
🌬 35 km/h
Tue
Thunderstorm
29° / 26°
💧 99% · 15mm
🌬 29 km/h
Wed
Thunderstorm
29° / 27°
💧 95% · 14mm
🌬 25 km/h
Thu
Drizzle
29° / 27°
💧 90% · 6mm
🌬 25 km/h
Fri
Drizzle
29° / 27°
💧 76% · 5mm
🌬 23 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Philippines
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Philippines
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 |
| GFS | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | — |
| ICON | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | — |
| GEM | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 |
| Spread | ±1 | ±2 | ±1 | ±1 | ±1 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Philippines · call now or find nearby
ACTIVE EVENTS — Philippines (2)
- M 4.6 - 7 km SSW of Caburan, PhilippinesMINORearthquake4h ago
📍 7 km SSW of Caburan, Philippines
✓ Confirmed · 2 sourcesSource: USGS · updated 4h ago↗ - M 4.5 - 244 km ESE of Sarangani, PhilippinesMINORearthquake7h ago
📍 244 km ESE of Sarangani, Philippines
✓ ConfirmedSource: USGS · updated 7h ago↗
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Drought & water scarcity
El Niño can bring prolonged dry spells, crop failure, water and energy stress, and wildfire conditions.
Before
- Store water and prioritise drinking/cooking use; fix leaks.
- Plant drought-tolerant crops; conserve soil moisture (mulching).
- Track official seasonal forecasts and water-restriction notices.
During
- Follow water-rationing rules; reuse greywater for plants where safe.
- Protect livestock with shade and water; reduce herd if advised.
- Watch for heat and wildfire risk that often accompany drought.
After
- Rebuild water stores before the next dry season.
- Assess soil and replant with resilient varieties.
Extreme heat
El Niño years frequently bring record heat, dangerous to health, agriculture and energy.
Before
- Identify cool places (air-conditioned buildings) you can reach.
- Check on elderly, infants, outdoor workers and people with chronic illness.
- Never leave children or pets in parked vehicles.
During
- Drink water regularly even before you feel thirsty; avoid alcohol and heavy meals.
- Stay indoors during peak heat; wear light, loose clothing; limit exertion.
- Know heat-stroke signs (confusion, hot/dry skin, fainting) — call emergency services and cool the person.
After
- Keep hydrating; watch vulnerable people for delayed heat illness.
Wildfire & smoke
Drought and heat raise wildfire risk; smoke (PM2.5) harms health far from the fire.
Before
- Create defensible space — clear dry vegetation around buildings.
- Prepare N95/FFP2 masks and a plan to seal indoor air; ready a go-bag.
- Sign up for local fire alerts and know multiple evacuation routes.
During
- Evacuate early when told — fire moves faster than you expect.
- If trapped by smoke, stay indoors, close windows, run air filtration; wear N95 outdoors.
- Check live air-quality (AQI) before any outdoor activity.
After
- Return only when cleared; watch for hotspots, ash and weakened trees.
- Keep masks on during clean-up; ash can be toxic.