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Portugal

Weak signal during El Niño

Europe · 38.72, -9.14

El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging

El Niño · active now

Weak signal; tendency to wetter late winters.

La Niña

Weak signal; drier tendency.

Global ENSO tracker ↗

7-day forecast — Portugal

Open-Meteo

Settled week ahead — highs near 32°, little rain (0mm total). No weather precautions needed.

Sat

Cloudy

32° / 22°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 16 km/h

Sun

Mostly sunny

28° / 21°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 17 km/h

Mon

Mostly sunny

29° / 20°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 17 km/h

Tue

Mostly sunny

29° / 21°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 17 km/h

Wed

Mostly sunny

31° / 20°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 16 km/h

Thu

Clear

32° / 18°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 19 km/h

Fri

Cloudy

30° / 20°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 19 km/h

🌡️

7-day temperature outlook

AI weather ensemble · Portugal

ECMWF · 50 members
High confidence· why?
  • Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
  • Well-observed region with dense weather networks.

Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.

80% range (P10–P90) across all members — how sure, not a single guess.
Sat
31° (3132°)
Sun
29° (2829°)
Mon
28° (2829°)
Tue
29° (2930°)
Wed
32° (3133°)
Thu
33° (3134°)
Fri
31° (2934°)
28°│ marks the most-likely temperature34°

Model comparison — Portugal

4 models · daily max °C
ModelSatSunMonTueWed
ECMWF3129292932
GFS2726272728
ICON2927282829
GEM2726272728
Spread±5±2±2±3±4

Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.

Emergency resources

Portugal · call now or find nearby

ACTIVE EVENTS — Portugal (0)

No active events recorded in Portugal right now.

How to prepare

Full guide ↗

Limited ENSO signal here

This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.

Before

  • Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.

During

  • Follow local authorities for any weather warning.

After

  • Restock and review.