El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
Wetter than normal; flooding risk in the Paraná basin.
La Niña
Drier; drought tendency affecting agriculture.
7-day forecast — Paraguay
Open-MeteoHot — peaks 36° Mon. Drink water, limit midday sun.
- ⚠ River flood high: discharge +1114% vs normal (peak Wed)
Tue
Cloudy
20° / 15°
💧 51% · 0mm
🌬 21 km/h
Wed
Mostly sunny
23° / 11°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 10 km/h
Thu
Cloudy
28° / 14°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 9 km/h
Fri
Mostly sunny
33° / 19°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 14 km/h
Sat
Mostly sunny
34° / 22°
💧 15% · 0mm
🌬 14 km/h
Sun
Cloudy
34° / 23°
💧 10% · 0mm
🌬 15 km/h
Mon
Cloudy
36° / 25°
💧 27% · 0mm
🌬 19 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Paraguay
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Paraguay
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 20 | 23 | 28 | 33 | 33 |
| GFS | 19 | 24 | 30 | 35 | 36 |
| ICON | 21 | 24 | 30 | 35 | 38 |
| GEM | 20 | 23 | 29 | 33 | 35 |
| Spread | ±2 | ±1 | ±2 | ±3 | ±5 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Paraguay · call now or find nearby
ACTIVE EVENTS — Paraguay (1)
- Active fire — 128 MWMINORwildfire4h ago
📍 Fuerte Olimpo, Paraguay
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 4h ago↗
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Flooding
El Niño / La Niña can drive heavy rainfall, river and flash flooding, and landslides.
Before
- Know if you are in a flood-prone or low-lying area; plan a route to higher ground.
- Move valuables and electrics above expected flood level; prepare sandbags if available.
- Charge phones and keep your go-bag ready when heavy rain is forecast.
During
- Turn Around, Don’t Drown — never walk, swim or drive through flood water (15 cm can knock you down, 60 cm floats a car).
- Move to higher ground immediately if told to evacuate; avoid bridges over fast water.
- Stay away from downed power lines; assume water is contaminated.
After
- Return only when authorities say it is safe; watch for weakened structures.
- Do not use wet electrical devices; boil/treat water until declared safe.
- Document damage with photos for aid/insurance.
Tropical cyclone / storm surge
ENSO shifts where cyclones form and track; some regions see more intense storms and surge.
Before
- Know your evacuation zone and route; reinforce/secure roof, windows and loose objects.
- Prepare your kit, fuel and cash before the storm; agree when you will leave.
- Follow the official storm category and warnings — do not wait for the eye to pass.
During
- Shelter in a small, windowless interior room on the lowest safe floor.
- Stay indoors during the calm "eye" — winds return suddenly from the opposite direction.
- Evacuate early if in a surge zone; surge, not wind, causes most deaths.
After
- Beware downed lines, gas leaks, and flood water; do not sightsee.
- Use generators outdoors only — carbon-monoxide kills.