El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.
La Niña
No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.
ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.
Global ENSO tracker ↗7-day forecast — Russia
Open-MeteoMostly dry with rain Thu (22mm). Carry rain gear that day.
- ⚠ River flood elevated: discharge +121% vs normal (peak Wed)
Tue
Rain
17° / 13°
💧 83% · 17mm
🌬 8 km/h
Wed
Showers
19° / 15°
💧 70% · 3mm
🌬 12 km/h
Thu
Showers
18° / 12°
💧 85% · 22mm
🌬 15 km/h
Fri
Rain
17° / 11°
💧 60% · 0mm
🌬 10 km/h
Sat
Cloudy
18° / 9°
💧 1% · 0mm
🌬 10 km/h
Sun
Showers
13° / 10°
💧 28% · 2mm
🌬 4 km/h
Mon
Cloudy
16° / 9°
💧 30% · 0mm
🌬 6 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Russia
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
- Well-observed region with dense weather networks.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Russia
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 17 |
| GFS | 19 | 19 | 19 | 16 | — |
| ICON | 19 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| GEM | 19 | 19 | 20 | 15 | 17 |
| Spread | ±1 | ±1 | ±2 | ±2 | ±1 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Russia · call now or find nearby
ACTIVE EVENTS — Russia (1)
- Active fire — 156 MWMINORwildfire1h ago
📍 Evenkiyskiy Rayon, Russian Federation (the)
◐ Unconfirmed · single sourceSource: FIRMS · updated 1h ago↗
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Limited ENSO signal here
This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.
Before
- Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.
During
- Follow local authorities for any weather warning.
After
- Restock and review.