El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.
La Niña
No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.
ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.
Global ENSO tracker ↗7-day forecast — Rwanda
Open-MeteoShowery week — rain on 4 days, heaviest Thu (9mm). Keep an umbrella handy; brief downpours can flood streets.
- ⚠ River flood high: discharge +508% vs normal (peak Mon)
Tue
Showers
30° / 18°
💧 69% · 7mm
🌬 13 km/h
Wed
Showers
28° / 16°
💧 98% · 7mm
🌬 13 km/h
Thu
Showers
29° / 16°
💧 96% · 9mm
🌬 11 km/h
Fri
Showers
27° / 16°
💧 86% · 8mm
🌬 14 km/h
Sat
Drizzle
27° / 17°
💧 84% · 2mm
🌬 13 km/h
Sun
Drizzle
26° / 17°
💧 86% · 3mm
🌬 17 km/h
Mon
Drizzle
26° / 17°
💧 64% · 4mm
🌬 8 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Rwanda
Moderate confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
- This region has fewer ground weather stations than the global average, so AI and physics models alike are less precise here.
⚠ Forecasts for this region carry more uncertainty. Global weather models are trained on sensor networks that are sparse here — a known limitation that affects every AI forecast, not just ours. We label it openly so you can weight official local warnings accordingly. We will never show you false confidence to look more polished.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Rwanda
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
| GFS | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 30 |
| ICON | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 30 |
| GEM | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 |
| Spread | ±1 | ±1 | ±1 | ±2 | ±3 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Rwanda · call now or find nearby
112 is the universal mobile-network emergency number and routes to local services in most countries — but confirm your own local number now, before you need it.
ACTIVE EVENTS — Rwanda (0)
No active events recorded in Rwanda right now.
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Limited ENSO signal here
This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.
Before
- Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.
During
- Follow local authorities for any weather warning.
After
- Restock and review.