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Sweden

Weak signal during El Niño

Europe · 59.33, 18.07

El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging

El Niño · active now

No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.

La Niña

No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.

ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.

Global ENSO tracker ↗

7-day forecast — Sweden

Open-Meteo

Settled week ahead — highs near 17°, little rain (1mm total). No weather precautions needed.

Tue

Cloudy

17° / 9°

💧 20% · 0mm

🌬 16 km/h

Wed

Mostly sunny

17° / 9°

💧 2% · 0mm

🌬 10 km/h

Thu

Drizzle

16° / 10°

💧 20% · 0mm

🌬 16 km/h

Fri

Drizzle

14° / 10°

💧 29% · 1mm

🌬 20 km/h

Sat

Fog

14° / 7°

💧 33% · 0mm

🌬 10 km/h

Sun

Cloudy

14° / 9°

💧 6% · 0mm

🌬 11 km/h

Mon

Fog

15° / 9°

💧 17% · 0mm

🌬 17 km/h

🌡️

7-day temperature outlook

AI weather ensemble · Sweden

ECMWF · 50 members
High confidence· why?
  • Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
  • Well-observed region with dense weather networks.

Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.

80% range (P10–P90) across all members — how sure, not a single guess.
Tue
16° (1516°)
Wed
15° (1516°)
Thu
15° (1416°)
Fri
15° (1416°)
Sat
15° (1417°)
Sun
17° (1617°)
Mon
17° (1518°)
14°│ marks the most-likely temperature18°

Model comparison — Sweden

4 models · daily max °C
ModelMonTueWedThuFri
ECMWF1515151515
GFS1616161616
ICON1515161615
GEM16161615
Spread±2±1±1±1±1

Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.

Emergency resources

Sweden · call now or find nearby

ACTIVE EVENTS — Sweden (0)

No active events recorded in Sweden right now.

How to prepare

Full guide ↗

Limited ENSO signal here

This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.

Before

  • Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.

During

  • Follow local authorities for any weather warning.

After

  • Restock and review.