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Eswatini

Weak signal during El Niño

Southern Africa · -26.32, 31.14

El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging

El Niño · active now

No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.

La Niña

No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.

ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.

Global ENSO tracker ↗

7-day forecast — Eswatini

Open-Meteo

Mostly dry with rain Tue (27mm). Carry rain gear that day.

Sat

Mostly sunny

20° / 9°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 12 km/h

Sun

Mostly sunny

23° / 12°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 20 km/h

Mon

Drizzle

16° / 7°

💧 75% · 8mm

🌬 21 km/h

Tue

Showers

8° / 6°

💧 84% · 27mm

🌬 23 km/h

Wed

Drizzle

10° / 5°

💧 68% · 3mm

🌬 23 km/h

Thu

Drizzle

9° / 6°

💧 29% · 4mm

🌬 15 km/h

Fri

Drizzle

13° / 6°

💧 28% · 4mm

🌬 7 km/h

🌡️

7-day temperature outlook

AI weather ensemble · Eswatini

ECMWF · 50 members
Moderate confidence· why?
  • Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
  • This region has fewer ground weather stations than the global average, so AI and physics models alike are less precise here.

Forecasts for this region carry more uncertainty. Global weather models are trained on sensor networks that are sparse here — a known limitation that affects every AI forecast, not just ours. We label it openly so you can weight official local warnings accordingly. We will never show you false confidence to look more polished.

Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.

80% range (P10–P90) across all members — how sure, not a single guess.
Sun
19° (1819°)
Mon
19° (1920°)
Tue
20° (2020°)
Wed
23° (2224°)
Thu
23° (2224°)
Fri
20° (1822°)
Sat
22° (1926°)
18°│ marks the most-likely temperature26°

Model comparison — Eswatini

4 models · daily max °C
ModelSatSunMonTueWed
ECMWF2124141011
GFS2326131011
ICON212513911
GEM
Spread±2±2±2±1±1

Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.

Emergency resources

Eswatini · call now or find nearby

112 is the universal mobile-network emergency number and routes to local services in most countries — but confirm your own local number now, before you need it.

ACTIVE EVENTS — Eswatini (0)

No active events recorded in Eswatini right now.

How to prepare

Full guide ↗

Limited ENSO signal here

This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.

Before

  • Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.

During

  • Follow local authorities for any weather warning.

After

  • Restock and review.