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Turkmenistan

Weak signal during El Niño

Central Asia · 37.96, 58.33

El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging

El Niño · active now

No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.

La Niña

No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.

ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.

Global ENSO tracker ↗

7-day forecast — Turkmenistan

Open-Meteo

Dangerous heat — up to 41° Tue. Stay indoors midday, hydrate, check on the vulnerable.

Sat

Cloudy

38° / 28°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 19 km/h

high heat

Sun

Mostly sunny

39° / 28°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 13 km/h

high heat

Mon

Mostly sunny

40° / 27°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 12 km/h

high heat

Tue

Mostly sunny

41° / 30°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 18 km/h

high heat

Wed

Mostly sunny

40° / 31°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 19 km/h

high heat

Thu

Cloudy

37° / 27°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 18 km/h

Fri

Mostly sunny

37° / 28°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 16 km/h

🌡️

7-day temperature outlook

AI weather ensemble · Turkmenistan

ECMWF · 50 members
High confidence· why?
  • Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.

Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.

80% range (P10–P90) across all members — how sure, not a single guess.
Thu
37° (3737°)
Fri
37° (3738°)
Sat
39° (3940°)
Sun
40° (3940°)
Mon
41° (4041°)
Tue
41° (4142°)
Wed
40° (3942°)
37°│ marks the most-likely temperature42°

Model comparison — Turkmenistan

4 models · daily max °C
ModelSatSunMonTueWed
ECMWF3940414141
GFS3536373837
ICON3939414240
GEM3838394039
Spread±4±3±3±3±3

Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.

Emergency resources

Turkmenistan · call now or find nearby

112 is the universal mobile-network emergency number and routes to local services in most countries — but confirm your own local number now, before you need it.

ACTIVE EVENTS — Turkmenistan (1)

How to prepare

Full guide ↗

Limited ENSO signal here

This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.

Before

  • Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.

During

  • Follow local authorities for any weather warning.

After

  • Restock and review.