El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.
La Niña
No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.
ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.
Global ENSO tracker ↗7-day forecast — Tunisia
Open-MeteoSettled week ahead — highs near 31°, little rain (0mm total). No weather precautions needed.
- ⚠ River flood high: discharge +1345% vs normal (peak Tue)
Tue
Cloudy
31° / 21°
💧 5% · 0mm
🌬 16 km/h
Wed
Mostly sunny
29° / 22°
💧 15% · 0mm
🌬 14 km/h
Thu
Mostly sunny
31° / 21°
💧 8% · 0mm
🌬 15 km/h
Fri
Cloudy
31° / 22°
💧 11% · 0mm
🌬 21 km/h
Sat
Mostly sunny
28° / 21°
💧 13% · 0mm
🌬 20 km/h
Sun
Cloudy
29° / 20°
💧 8% · 0mm
🌬 16 km/h
Mon
Mostly sunny
29° / 20°
💧 9% · 0mm
🌬 13 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Tunisia
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
- Well-observed region with dense weather networks.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Tunisia
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 29 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 28 |
| GFS | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 |
| ICON | 31 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 28 |
| GEM | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 28 |
| Spread | ±2 | ±2 | ±3 | ±1 | ±0 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Tunisia · call now or find nearby
112 is the universal mobile-network emergency number and routes to local services in most countries — but confirm your own local number now, before you need it.
ACTIVE EVENTS — Tunisia (0)
No active events recorded in Tunisia right now.
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Limited ENSO signal here
This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.
Before
- Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.
During
- Follow local authorities for any weather warning.
After
- Restock and review.