← Home

Turkey

Weak signal during El Niño

Western Asia · 39.93, 32.86

El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging

El Niño · active now

No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.

La Niña

No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.

ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.

Global ENSO tracker ↗

7-day forecast — Turkey

Open-Meteo

Settled week ahead — highs near 24°, little rain (1mm total). No weather precautions needed.

Tue

Cloudy

23° / 15°

💧 58% · 0mm

🌬 9 km/h

Wed

Rain

21° / 13°

💧 70% · 1mm

🌬 16 km/h

Thu

Mostly sunny

20° / 9°

💧 3% · 0mm

🌬 8 km/h

Fri

Mostly sunny

22° / 10°

💧 0% · 0mm

🌬 7 km/h

Sat

Mostly sunny

24° / 10°

💧 3% · 0mm

🌬 7 km/h

Sun

Mostly sunny

24° / 13°

💧 7% · 0mm

🌬 13 km/h

Mon

Mostly sunny

23° / 13°

💧 8% · 0mm

🌬 13 km/h

🌡️

7-day temperature outlook

AI weather ensemble · Turkey

ECMWF · 50 members
Moderate confidence· why?
  • Some divergence between members — treat the range, not the midpoint, as the forecast.
  • Well-observed region with dense weather networks.

Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.

80% range (P10–P90) across all members — how sure, not a single guess.
Tue
24° (2326°)
Wed
21° (2023°)
Thu
19° (1720°)
Fri
22° (2123°)
Sat
25° (2426°)
Sun
24° (1928°)
Mon
23° (1927°)
17°│ marks the most-likely temperature28°

Model comparison — Turkey

4 models · daily max °C
ModelMonTueWedThuFri
ECMWF2524201923
GFS24211719
ICON2424201921
GEM24201820
Spread±1±1±1±2±3

Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.

Emergency resources

Turkey · call now or find nearby

ACTIVE EVENTS — Turkey (0)

No active events recorded in Turkey right now.

How to prepare

Full guide ↗

Limited ENSO signal here

This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.

Before

  • Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.

During

  • Follow local authorities for any weather warning.

After

  • Restock and review.