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Tuvalu

Weak signal during El Niño

Pacific Islands · -8.52, 179.20

El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging

El Niño · active now

No strong, well-documented El Niño signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable. See live conditions and events below.

La Niña

No strong, well-documented La Niña signal here — ENSO effects are weak or variable.

ENSO teleconnection here is weak or not well documented — shown honestly rather than invented.

Global ENSO tracker ↗

7-day forecast — Tuvalu

Open-Meteo

Heavy rain Sun (60mm) — flooding likely in low-lying areas; avoid flooded roads.

Sat

Thunderstorm

29° / 27°

💧 100% · 37mm

🌬 48 km/h

Sun

Thunderstorm

27° / 26°

💧 100% · 60mm

🌬 42 km/h

heavy rain

Mon

Showers

29° / 27°

💧 100% · 7mm

🌬 34 km/h

Tue

Thunderstorm

29° / 26°

💧 98% · 34mm

🌬 36 km/h

Wed

Showers

28° / 26°

💧 97% · 10mm

🌬 28 km/h

Thu

Showers

28° / 27°

💧 75% · 18mm

🌬 22 km/h

Fri

Showers

28° / 26°

💧 81% · 10mm

🌬 29 km/h

🌡️

7-day temperature outlook

AI weather ensemble · Tuvalu

ECMWF · 50 members
Moderate confidence· why?
  • Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
  • This region has fewer ground weather stations than the global average, so AI and physics models alike are less precise here.

Forecasts for this region carry more uncertainty. Global weather models are trained on sensor networks that are sparse here — a known limitation that affects every AI forecast, not just ours. We label it openly so you can weight official local warnings accordingly. We will never show you false confidence to look more polished.

Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.

80% range (P10–P90) across all members — how sure, not a single guess.
Wed
29° (2829°)
Thu
28° (2829°)
Fri
28° (2829°)
Sat
28° (2829°)
Sun
28° (2829°)
Mon
28° (2829°)
Tue
28° (2829°)
28°│ marks the most-likely temperature29°

Emergency resources

Tuvalu · call now or find nearby

112 is the universal mobile-network emergency number and routes to local services in most countries — but confirm your own local number now, before you need it.

ACTIVE EVENTS — Tuvalu (0)

No active events recorded in Tuvalu right now.

How to prepare

Full guide ↗

Limited ENSO signal here

This country has no strong, well-documented ENSO teleconnection. General readiness still helps for any local hazard.

Before

  • Keep a basic emergency kit and family plan.

During

  • Follow local authorities for any weather warning.

After

  • Restock and review.