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United States

Mixed impacts during El Niño

North America · 38.90, -77.04

El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging

El Niño · active now

Wetter, stormier southern tier (Gulf Coast, California, Southeast); milder, drier north. Suppressed Atlantic hurricanes.

La Niña

Drier Southwest/Southeast (drought), wetter Pacific Northwest; more active Atlantic hurricane season.

Global ENSO tracker ↗

7-day forecast — United States

Open-Meteo

Mostly dry with rain Tue (18mm). Carry rain gear that day.

Tue

Rain

18° / 15°

💧 56% · 18mm

🌬 22 km/h

Wed

Rain

17° / 14°

💧 52% · 7mm

🌬 21 km/h

Thu

Cloudy

20° / 13°

💧 13% · 0mm

🌬 18 km/h

Fri

Mostly sunny

23° / 12°

💧 6% · 0mm

🌬 18 km/h

Sat

Mostly sunny

24° / 12°

💧 6% · 0mm

🌬 18 km/h

Sun

Mostly sunny

26° / 14°

💧 4% · 0mm

🌬 18 km/h

Mon

Cloudy

26° / 14°

💧 4% · 0mm

🌬 11 km/h

🌡️

7-day temperature outlook

AI weather ensemble · United States

ECMWF · 50 members
High confidence· why?
  • Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
  • Well-observed region with dense weather networks.

Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.

80% range (P10–P90) across all members — how sure, not a single guess.
Tue
19° (1819°)
Wed
19° (1720°)
Thu
18° (1719°)
Fri
20° (1821°)
Sat
21° (1723°)
Sun
22° (2023°)
Mon
22° (1824°)
17°│ marks the most-likely temperature24°

Model comparison — United States

4 models · daily max °C
ModelTueWedThuFriSat
ECMWF1919182021
GFS2020202122
ICON1918192121
GEM1816181920
Spread±2±3±2±3±2

Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.

Emergency resources

United States · call now or find nearby

ACTIVE EVENTS — United States (50)

How to prepare

Full guide ↗

Mixed / variable hazards

This region can swing between flooding and drought depending on the phase and season.

Before

  • Prepare for both wet and dry extremes; keep a general emergency kit ready.
  • Follow your national meteorological agency for the current seasonal outlook.

During

  • Act on the specific official warning issued for your area.

After

  • Restock supplies and review your plan after each event.

Flooding

El Niño / La Niña can drive heavy rainfall, river and flash flooding, and landslides.

Before

  • Know if you are in a flood-prone or low-lying area; plan a route to higher ground.
  • Move valuables and electrics above expected flood level; prepare sandbags if available.
  • Charge phones and keep your go-bag ready when heavy rain is forecast.

During

  • Turn Around, Don’t Drown — never walk, swim or drive through flood water (15 cm can knock you down, 60 cm floats a car).
  • Move to higher ground immediately if told to evacuate; avoid bridges over fast water.
  • Stay away from downed power lines; assume water is contaminated.

After

  • Return only when authorities say it is safe; watch for weakened structures.
  • Do not use wet electrical devices; boil/treat water until declared safe.
  • Document damage with photos for aid/insurance.

Drought & water scarcity

El Niño can bring prolonged dry spells, crop failure, water and energy stress, and wildfire conditions.

Before

  • Store water and prioritise drinking/cooking use; fix leaks.
  • Plant drought-tolerant crops; conserve soil moisture (mulching).
  • Track official seasonal forecasts and water-restriction notices.

During

  • Follow water-rationing rules; reuse greywater for plants where safe.
  • Protect livestock with shade and water; reduce herd if advised.
  • Watch for heat and wildfire risk that often accompany drought.

After

  • Rebuild water stores before the next dry season.
  • Assess soil and replant with resilient varieties.