← Home

United States

Mixed impacts during El Niño

North America · 38.90, -77.04

El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging

El Niño · active now

Wetter, stormier southern tier (Gulf Coast, California, Southeast); milder, drier north. Suppressed Atlantic hurricanes.

La Niña

Drier Southwest/Southeast (drought), wetter Pacific Northwest; more active Atlantic hurricane season.

Global ENSO tracker ↗

7-day forecast — United States

Open-Meteo

Hot — peaks 37° Tue. Drink water, limit midday sun. Mostly dry with rain Tue (11mm). Carry rain gear that day.

Fri

Cloudy

33° / 22°

💧 35% · 0mm

🌬 21 km/h

Sat

Cloudy

35° / 23°

💧 20% · 0mm

🌬 35 km/h

Sun

Cloudy

36° / 22°

💧 6% · 0mm

🌬 15 km/h

Mon

Cloudy

36° / 24°

💧 8% · 0mm

🌬 15 km/h

Tue

Thunderstorm

37° / 23°

💧 36% · 11mm

🌬 16 km/h

Wed

Showers

29° / 22°

💧 46% · 7mm

🌬 15 km/h

Thu

Drizzle

33° / 22°

💧 35% · 1mm

🌬 8 km/h

🌡️

7-day temperature outlook

AI weather ensemble · United States

ECMWF · 50 members
Moderate confidence· why?
  • Some divergence between members — treat the range, not the midpoint, as the forecast.
  • Well-observed region with dense weather networks.

Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.

80% range (P10–P90) across all members — how sure, not a single guess.
Fri
33° (3034°)
Sat
34° (3236°)
Sun
34° (3335°)
Mon
36° (3437°)
Tue
34° (3237°)
Wed
31° (2934°)
Thu
33° (3035°)
29°│ marks the most-likely temperature37°

Model comparison — United States

4 models · daily max °C
ModelSatSunMonTueWed
ECMWF3434363431
GFS3635373735
ICON333334
GEM3333353433
Spread±4±3±2±3±3

Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.

Emergency resources

United States · call now or find nearby

ACTIVE EVENTS — United States (50)

  • WARNINGForecastextreme heat
    in 3d
    Extreme heat forecast: 37°C — Washington (Tue)

    📍 Washington, United States

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: OPENMETEO · updated just now
  • WATCHForecastextreme heat
    in 2d
    Extreme heat forecast: 36°C — Washington (Mon)

    📍 Washington, United States

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: OPENMETEO · updated just now
  • MINORwildfire
    43m ago
    Active fire — 257 MW

    📍 Ashwood, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 43m ago
  • MINORwildfire
    43m ago
    Active fire — 291 MW

    📍 Dufur, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 43m ago
  • MINORwildfire
    43m ago
    Active fire — 213 MW

    📍 Big Hole Basin, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 43m ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    43m ago
    Active fire — 589 MW

    📍 Chiloquin, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 43m ago
  • MINORwildfire
    43m ago
    Active fire — 206 MW

    📍 Philipsburg, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 43m ago
  • MINORwildfire
    43m ago
    Active fire — 246 MW

    📍 Mount Rainier, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 43m ago
  • MINORwildfire
    43m ago
    Active fire — 210 MW

    📍 Weiser, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 43m ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    43m ago
    Active fire — 408 MW

    📍 Marbury, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 43m ago
  • MINORwildfire
    43m ago
    Active fire — 196 MW

    📍 Murphy, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 43m ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    43m ago
    Active fire — 310 MW

    📍 Lake City, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 43m ago
  • MINORwildfire
    43m ago
    Active fire — 280 MW

    📍 Early Winters, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 43m ago
  • MINORwildfire
    43m ago
    Active fire — 198 MW

    📍 Leavenworth-Lake Wenatchee, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 43m ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    43m ago
    Active fire — 332 MW

    📍 Big Hole Basin, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 43m ago
  • WATCHflood
    54m ago
    Flash Flood Warning — Shannon, MO

    📍 Shannon, MO, United States

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: NWS · updated 54m ago
  • WATCHsevere storm
    56m ago
    Severe Thunderstorm Warning — Henry, IA

    📍 Henry, IA, United States

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: NWS · updated 56m ago
  • WATCHflood
    1h ago
    Flash Flood Warning — El Paso, TX

    📍 El Paso, TX, United States

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: NWS · updated 1h ago
  • WATCHflood
    1h ago
    Flood Warning — Madison, IN

    📍 Madison, IN, United States

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: NWS · updated 1h ago
  • WATCHflood
    1h ago
    Flood Warning — Carroll, AR

    📍 Carroll, AR, United States

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: NWS · updated 1h ago
  • WATCHflood
    1h ago
    Flash Flood Warning — Polk, AR

    📍 Polk, AR, United States

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: NWS · updated 1h ago
  • WATCHflood
    2h ago
    Flash Flood Warning — Forest, PA

    📍 Forest, PA, United States

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: NWS · updated 2h ago
  • WATCHflood
    2h ago
    Flash Flood Warning — Coconino, AZ

    📍 Coconino, AZ, United States

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: NWS · updated 2h ago
  • WATCHflood
    2h ago
    Flash Flood Warning — Calhoun, WV

    📍 Calhoun, WV, United States

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: NWS · updated 2h ago
  • WATCHflood
    3h ago
    Flood Warning — Madison, NY

    📍 Madison, NY, United States

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: NWS · updated 3h ago
  • WATCHflood
    3h ago
    Flood Warning — Hamilton, OH

    📍 Hamilton, OH, United States

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: NWS · updated 3h ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 696 MW

    📍 Fillmore, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 282 MW

    📍 Murphy, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 656 MW

    📍 Oroville, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 522 MW

    📍 Grand View, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 597 MW

    📍 Ashwood, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 832 MW

    📍 Fillmore, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago
  • MINORwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 300 MW

    📍 Stehekin, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 479 MW

    📍 Oroville, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    4h ago
    Active fire — 860 MW

    📍 Lake City, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: FIRMS · updated 4h ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    2d ago
    Wildfire Wrights Spring, Klamath, Oregon

    📍 Chiloquin, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 2d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    2d ago
    Wildfire BUZZARD, Kern, California

    📍 West Kern, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 2d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    3d ago
    Wildfire Bare, Sublette, Wyoming

    📍 Big Piney, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 3d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    4d ago
    Wildfire Butte, Gila, Arizona

    📍 San Carlos, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 4d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    4d ago
    Wildfire GANN, Calaveras, California

    📍 San Andreas, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 4d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    5d ago
    Wildfire Middle Coulee, Chouteau, Montana

    📍 Fort Benton, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 5d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    5d ago
    Wildfire Antelope Creek, Elko, Nevada

    📍 Mountain City, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 5d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    5d ago
    Wildfire Bluegill, Miami-Dade, Florida

    📍 Kendale Lakes, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 5d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    6d ago
    Wildfire MITRE ROCK, Stevens, Washington

    📍 Colville Reservation, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 6d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    6d ago
    Wildfire Johnson Canyon, Box Elder, Utah

    📍 Howell-Snowville, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 6d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    6d ago
    Wildfire Semi 270, Woodward, Oklahoma

    📍 Township of Woodward, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 6d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    6d ago
    Wildfire Eggo, Wallowa, Oregon

    📍 Imnaha, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 6d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    6d ago
    Wildfire HUDSPETH, Stevens, Washington

    📍 Colville Reservation, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 6d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    6d ago
    Wildfire AUTUMN LANE, Spokane, Washington

    📍 Airway Heights, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 6d ago
  • WATCHwildfire
    6d ago
    Wildfire FELIZ, Mendocino, California

    📍 Hopland, United States of America (the)

    ◐ Unconfirmed · single source
    Source: EONET · updated 6d ago

How to prepare

Full guide ↗

Mixed / variable hazards

This region can swing between flooding and drought depending on the phase and season.

Before

  • Prepare for both wet and dry extremes; keep a general emergency kit ready.
  • Follow your national meteorological agency for the current seasonal outlook.

During

  • Act on the specific official warning issued for your area.

After

  • Restock supplies and review your plan after each event.

Flooding

El Niño / La Niña can drive heavy rainfall, river and flash flooding, and landslides.

Before

  • Know if you are in a flood-prone or low-lying area; plan a route to higher ground.
  • Move valuables and electrics above expected flood level; prepare sandbags if available.
  • Charge phones and keep your go-bag ready when heavy rain is forecast.

During

  • Turn Around, Don’t Drown — never walk, swim or drive through flood water (15 cm can knock you down, 60 cm floats a car).
  • Move to higher ground immediately if told to evacuate; avoid bridges over fast water.
  • Stay away from downed power lines; assume water is contaminated.

After

  • Return only when authorities say it is safe; watch for weakened structures.
  • Do not use wet electrical devices; boil/treat water until declared safe.
  • Document damage with photos for aid/insurance.

Drought & water scarcity

El Niño can bring prolonged dry spells, crop failure, water and energy stress, and wildfire conditions.

Before

  • Store water and prioritise drinking/cooking use; fix leaks.
  • Plant drought-tolerant crops; conserve soil moisture (mulching).
  • Track official seasonal forecasts and water-restriction notices.

During

  • Follow water-rationing rules; reuse greywater for plants where safe.
  • Protect livestock with shade and water; reduce herd if advised.
  • Watch for heat and wildfire risk that often accompany drought.

After

  • Rebuild water stores before the next dry season.
  • Assess soil and replant with resilient varieties.