El Niño / La Niña impact — currently El Niño conditions emerging
El Niño · active now
Wetter spring/summer; flooding risk but generally good for pasture and crops.
La Niña
Drier; drought risk for agriculture.
7-day forecast — Uruguay
Open-MeteoSettled week ahead — highs near 11°, little rain (8mm total). No weather precautions needed.
- ⚠ River flood high: discharge +217% vs normal (peak Sat)
Sat
Drizzle
11° / 7°
💧 49% · 0mm
🌬 34 km/h
Sun
Mostly sunny
11° / 10°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 30 km/h
Mon
Cloudy
10° / 9°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 28 km/h
Tue
Cloudy
9° / 8°
💧 0% · 0mm
🌬 26 km/h
Wed
Drizzle
10° / 8°
💧 54% · 1mm
🌬 31 km/h
Thu
Drizzle
10° / 10°
💧 71% · 6mm
🌬 36 km/h
Fri
Cloudy
11° / 10°
💧 34% · 0mm
🌬 19 km/h
7-day temperature outlook
AI weather ensemble · Uruguay
High confidence· why?
- Ensemble members strongly agree — the forecast range is tight.
Plan for the upper end of the range and follow official local authorities for confirmed warnings.
Model comparison — Uruguay
4 models · daily max °C| Model | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| GFS | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| ICON | 12 | 11 | — | — | — |
| GEM | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| Spread | ±2 | ±1 | ±1 | ±2 | ±0 |
Spread = warmest−coolest model mean per day. Small spread → models agree (higher confidence); large → genuine uncertainty.
Emergency resources
Uruguay · call now or find nearby
ACTIVE EVENTS — Uruguay (0)
No active events recorded in Uruguay right now.
How to prepare
Full guide ↗Flooding
El Niño / La Niña can drive heavy rainfall, river and flash flooding, and landslides.
Before
- Know if you are in a flood-prone or low-lying area; plan a route to higher ground.
- Move valuables and electrics above expected flood level; prepare sandbags if available.
- Charge phones and keep your go-bag ready when heavy rain is forecast.
During
- Turn Around, Don’t Drown — never walk, swim or drive through flood water (15 cm can knock you down, 60 cm floats a car).
- Move to higher ground immediately if told to evacuate; avoid bridges over fast water.
- Stay away from downed power lines; assume water is contaminated.
After
- Return only when authorities say it is safe; watch for weakened structures.
- Do not use wet electrical devices; boil/treat water until declared safe.
- Document damage with photos for aid/insurance.
Tropical cyclone / storm surge
ENSO shifts where cyclones form and track; some regions see more intense storms and surge.
Before
- Know your evacuation zone and route; reinforce/secure roof, windows and loose objects.
- Prepare your kit, fuel and cash before the storm; agree when you will leave.
- Follow the official storm category and warnings — do not wait for the eye to pass.
During
- Shelter in a small, windowless interior room on the lowest safe floor.
- Stay indoors during the calm "eye" — winds return suddenly from the opposite direction.
- Evacuate early if in a surge zone; surge, not wind, causes most deaths.
After
- Beware downed lines, gas leaks, and flood water; do not sightsee.
- Use generators outdoors only — carbon-monoxide kills.